[1] |
王倩倩, 余晔, 董龙翔, 等. 基于激光测风雷达的兰州冬季风场特征及其与大气污染的关系 [J]. 高原气象, 2020, 39(3): 641-650. DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2019.00009.
WANG Q Q, YU Y, DONG L X, et al. Characteristics of winter wind field in Lanzhou based on scanning lidar and its relation to air pollution [J]. Plateau meteorology, 2020, 39(3): 641-650. DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2019.00009. |
[2] |
潘超, 谭启德, 蔡国伟, 等. 基于递归量化分析的COA-SVR短期风速混合预测模型 [J]. 电网技术, 2018, 42(8): 2373-2381. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2018.0137.
PAN C, TAN Q D, CAI G W, et al. Hybrid short-term wind speed prediction model by COA-SVR based on recursive quantitative analysis [J]. Power system technology, 2018, 42(8): 2373-2381. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2018.0137. |
[3] |
WANG Z Y, QIN H Y, LEWIS J I. China's wind power industry: policy support, technological achievements, and emerging challenges [J]. Energy policy, 2012, 51: 80-88. DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.06.067. |
[4] |
SANTOS J A, ROCHINHA C, LIBERATO M L R, et al. Projected changes in wind energy potentials over Iberia [J]. Renewable energy, 2015, 75: 68-80. DOI: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.09.026. |
[5] |
向玲, 邓泽奇, 赵玥. 基于LPF-VMD和KELM的风速多步预测模型 [J]. 电网技术, 2019, 43(12): 4461-4467. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2019.0176.
XIANG L, DENG Z Q, ZHAO Y. Multi-step wind speed prediction model based on LPF-VMD and KELM [J]. Power system technology, 2019, 43(12): 4461-4467. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2019.0176. |
[6] |
史可琴, 王方雨, 梁琛, 等. 基于随机过程自相关性的风速预测模型分析 [J]. 电网技术, 2017, 41(2): 529-535. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2016.0949.
SHI K Q, WANG F Y, LIANG C, et al. New wind speed prediction model based on random process considering autocorrelation [J]. Power system technology, 2017, 41(2): 529-535. DOI: 10.13335/j.1000-3673.pst.2016.0949. |
[7] |
PETERSEN E L, MORTENSEN N G, LANDBERG L, et al. Wind power meteorology. Part I: climate and turbulence [J]. Wind energy, 1998, 1(1): 2-22. DOI: 10.1002/(SICI)1099-1824(199809)1:1<2:AID-WE15>3.0.CO;2-Y. |
[8] |
AYOTTE K W, DAVY R J, COPPIN P A. A simple temporal and spatial analysis of flow in complex terrain in the context of wind energy modelling [J]. Boundary-layer meteorology, 2001, 98(2): 275-295. DOI: 10.1023/A:1026583021740. |
[9] |
MANWELL J F, ROGERS A L, MCGOWAN J G, et al. An offshore wind resource assessment study for New England [J]. Renewable energy, 2002, 27(2): 175-187. DOI: 10.1016/S0960-1481(01)00183-5. |
[10] |
徐晶晶, 胡非, 肖子牛, 等. 风能模式预报的相似误差订正 [J]. 应用气象学报, 2013, 24(6): 731-740. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7313.2013.06.010.
XU J J, HU F, XIAO Z N, et al. Analog bias correction of numerical model on wind power prediction [J]. Journal of applied meteorological science, 2013, 24(6): 731-740. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-7313.2013.06.010. |
[11] |
肖洋. 风电场风速和发电功率预测研究 [D]. 吉林: 东北电力大学, 2005. DOI: 10.7666/d.Y1014228.
XIAO Y. Wind speed and power prediction of wind farm [D]. Jilin: Northeast Electric Power University, 2005. DOI: 10.7666/d.Y1014228. |
[12] |
吴国旸, 肖洋, 翁莎莎. 风电场短期风速预测探讨 [J]. 吉林电力, 2005(6): 21-24. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-5306.2005.06.007.
WU G Y, XIAO Y, WENG S S. Discussion about short-term forecast of wind speed on wind farm [J]. Jilin electric power, 2005(6): 21-24. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1009-5306.2005.06.007. |
[13] |
石岚, 徐丽娜, 郝玉珠. 多模式风速融合预报应用研究 [J]. 高原气象, 2017, 36(4): 1022-1028. DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2017.00021.
SHI L, XU L N, HAO Y Z. Application research on the multi-model fusion forecast of wind speed [J]. Plateau meteorology, 2017, 36(4): 1022-1028. DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-0534.2017.00021. |
[14] |
马金玉, 罗勇, 申彦波, 等. 太阳能预报方法及其应用和问题 [J]. 资源科学, 2011, 33(5): 829-837.
MA J Y, LUO Y, SHEN Y B, et al. A review on methods of solar energy forecasting and its application [J]. Resources science, 2011, 33(5): 829-837. |
[15] |
王明欢, 赖安伟, 陈正洪, 等. WRF模式模拟的地表短波辐射与实况对比分析 [J]. 气象, 2012, 38(5): 585-592. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2012.05.009.
WANG M H, LAI A W, CHEN Z H, et al. Comparison of WRF forecast downward shortwave radiation with observations—a pilot study [J]. Meteorology, 2012, 38(5): 585-592. DOI: 10.7519/j.issn.1000-0526.2012.05.009. |
[16] |
郑婷婷, 单小雨, 马继涛, 等.寒潮天气对风电运行和功率预测的影响分析[J]. 内蒙古电力技术, 2023, 41(4): 8-12.DOI: 10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2023.0048
ZHENG T T, SHAN X Y, MA J T, et al. Impact of cold wave weather on wind power operation and power prediction[J]. Inner Mongolia electric power, 2023, 41(4): 8-12. DOI: 10.19929/j.cnki.nmgdljs.2023.0048 |
[17] |
张永蕊, 阎洁, 林爱美, 等. 多点数值天气预报风速和辐照度集中式修正方法研究 [J]. 发电技术, 2022, 43(2): 278-286. DOI: 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.22005.
ZHANG Y R, YAN J, LIN A M, et al. Integrated correction method of multi-point numerical weather prediction wind speed and irradiance [J]. Power generation technology, 2022, 43(2): 278-286. DOI: 10.12096/j.2096-4528.pgt.22005. |
[18] |
刘桂艳, 连喜虎, 高松, 等. WRF模式对渤海和黄海海面风预报误差分析 [J]. 防灾科技学院学报, 2023, 25(1): 40-48. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-8047.2023.01.005.
LIU G Y, LIAN X H, GAO S, et al. Analysis of sea surface wind prediction error in the Bohai Sea and the Yellow Sea by WRF model [J]. Journal of institute of disaster prevention, 2023, 25(1): 40-48. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1673-8047.2023.01.005. |
[19] |
肖瑶, 席世平, 王丽. 河南高速公路沿线最大风速精细化预报产品检验及订正研究 [J]. 气象与环境科学, 2022, 45(3): 29-35. DOI: 10.16765/j.cnki.1673-7148.2022.03.004.
XIAO Y, XI S P, WANG L. Research on refined forecast test and correction of maximum wind speed along expressway in Henan Province [J]. Meteorological and environmental sciences, 2022, 45(3): 29-35. DOI: 10.16765/j.cnki.1673-7148.2022.03.004. |
[20] |
吴骥, 陈卫东, 字俣丞, 等. 寒潮天气过程对风/光伏发电资源要素数值预报技巧影响的检验分析 [J]. 气候与环境研究, 2022, 27(6): 769-777. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21173.
WU J, CHEN W D, ZI Y C, et al. Verification and analysis of the impact of cold wave weather process on the numerical prediction skills of wind/photovoltaic power resource elements [J]. Climatic and environmental research, 2022, 27(6): 769-777. DOI: 10.3878/j.issn.1006-9585.2021.21173. |
[21] |
程兴宏, 陶树旺, 魏磊, 等. 基于WRF模式和自适应偏最小二乘回归法的风能预报试验研究 [J]. 高原气象, 2012, 31(5): 1461-1469.
CHENG X H, TAO S W, WEI L, et al. Short-term wind power forecasting experiment based on WRF model and adapting partial least square regression method [J]. Plateau meteorology, 2012, 31(5): 1461-1469. |
[22] |
夏晓玲, 尚媛媛, 郑奕. 贵州省数值预报风速产品检验及订正 [J]. 中低纬山地气象, 2019, 43(6): 30-36. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-6598.2019.06.005.
XIA X L, SHANG Y Y, ZHENG Y. Verification and revision of numerical models for wind speed forecast in Guizhou Province [J]. Mid-low latitude mountain meteorology, 2019, 43(6): 30-36. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1003-6598.2019.06.005. |
[23] |
余江, 江志红, 俞卫, 等. 风电场风速数值预报的误差分析及订正 [J]. 气象科学, 2015, 35(5): 587-592. DOI: 10.3969/2014jms.0013.
YU J, JIANG Z H, YU W, et al. Error analysis and correction of wind speed numerical forecast at wind farm [J]. Journal of the meteorological sciences, 2015, 35(5): 587-592. DOI: 10.3969/2014jms.0013. |
[24] |
息涛, 肖玉华, 明慧青, 等. 西南高原山地风能预测中风速预报的热动力订正研究 [C]//中国气象学会. 第34届中国气象学会年会S11创新驱动智慧气象服务——第七届气象服务发展论坛论文集, 郑州, 2017-09-27. 郑州: 中国气象学会, 2017.
XI T, XIAO Y H, MING H Q, et al. Research on the thermodynamic correction of wind speed prediction in wind energy prediction in the southwest plateau and mountainous areas [C]//China Meteorological Society. The 34th Annual Meeting of the China Meteorological Society S11 Innovation Driven Smart Meteorological Service: The Seventh Meteorological Service Development Forum Proceedings, Zhengzhou, China, September 27, 2017. Zhengzhou: China Meteorological Society, 2017. |