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中国氢燃料电池汽车市场发展现状及展望

Development Status and Outlook of Hydrogen Powered Fuel Cell Vehicle Market in China

  • 摘要:
      目的  燃料电池汽车产业作为氢能发展的主要赛道之一,在交通领域脱碳转型过程中承担着关键角色。针对当前政策环境和产业基础,对中国燃料电池汽车市场发展趋势和挑战展开系统性分析具有必要性。
      方法  文章聚焦市场规模、细分方向、装备及氢源价格等市场要素,对政策驱动下的燃料电池汽车市场发展情况进行介绍与分析。
      结果  中国燃料电池汽车市场的推广应用效果与政策扶持力度、奖补细则明确程度和地方优势企业带动密切相关;市场已根据主机厂和燃料电池系统配套企业综合竞争力初显头部企业效应;整车和动力系统价格相较2021年下降5%~20%,但综合应用成本尚未达到市场化水平。
      结论  尽管中国燃料电池汽车市场化进程仍掣肘于装备制造成本、氢源价格和基础设施配套等因素,但产业发展的决心坚定,将不断随着产品性能验证、基础设施建设、商业模式创新得以稳步发展,展现出更大活力。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  As one of the main tracks of hydrogen energy development, fuel cell vehicle industry plays a key role in the process of transportation decarbonization. In view of the current policy environment and industrial base, it is necessary to systematically analyze the development trend and challenges of China's fuel cell vehicle market.
      Method  A comprehensive discussion of the fuel cell vehicle market focusing on the market factors such as market size, segmentation direction, equipment and hydrogen source price, etc. was provided in this paper.
      Result  The promotion and application effect of China's fuel cell vehicle market is closely related to the strength of policy support, the clarity of the detailed rules of subsidies and the driving force of local advantageous enterprises. In terms of market distribution, it has shown a certain leader effect according to the comprehensive competitiveness of vehicle and fuel cell enterprises. The price of the vehicle and the fuel cell power system has decreased by 5%~20% compared to 2021, but it still costs a lot in application.
      Conclusion  Although China's fuel cell vehicle marketization is still hampered by the high manufacturing cost and hydrogen price, and the lack of infrastructures, but the fuel cell vehicle industry will show great vitality after further developed in performance verification, infrastructure construction and business structure innovation.

     

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