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氢能的经济与社会影响:东亚峰会地区案例

Economic and Social Impacts of Hydrogen Energy: East Asia Summit Region Case Study

  • 摘要:
      目的  近年来,随着氢能发展获得新的动力,分析发展氢能产业对经济和社会的影响,有助于为该领域进一步的政策制定和投资决策提供参考。
      方法  鉴于东亚峰会地区在经济增长和绿色能源转型中发挥着日益重要的作用,我们构建了一个需求驱动的氢能供应链模型,以全面、定量地评估该地区氢能发展对经济和社会的影响。
      结果  该模型对所需的资本投资、新增就业岗位数量、碳排放的潜在减少量、发展初期所需的补贴,以及对关键能源安全指标的影响等方面进行了估算。
      结论  我们发现,氢能发展具有显著的创造就业效应,而且我们的估算表明该地区各国的所需总投资以及财政负担都在可承受范围内。除了大幅减少碳排放之外,其积极的社会影响还包括能源安全指标的总体改善。

     

    Abstract:
      Objective  As hydrogen energy has gained new momentum recently, analyzing the economic and social impacts of developing a hydrogen energy sector can inform further policy formation and investment decision making in this regard.
      Method  Considering the increasingly important role of East Asia Summit (EAS) region in both economic growth and green energy transition, we developed a demand-driven model for the hydrogen energy supply chains to comprehensively and quantitatively evaluate the economic and social impacts hydrogen energy development in the EAS region.
      Result  This model provides estimates of the capital investment required, the number of new jobs created, the potential carbon emissions reduction, the subsidies needed in the early stages of development, and the impacts on key energy security indicators.
      Conclusion  We find that hydrogen energy development has a significant job creation effect, and that the total investment the fiscal burden appear to be manageable for countries in the EAS region. In addition to substantial carbon emissions reduction, positive social impacts also include general improvements in energy security indicators.

     

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