万山海岛地区太阳能资源变化特征分析及评估
Variation Characteristics and Assessment of Solar Energy Resources in Wanshan Islands Area
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摘要: 利用线性回归分析法、距平分析法、5年滑动平均法和Mann-Kendall检验法对万山海岛地区太阳总辐射量和日照时数进行分析,结果表明:万山海岛地区太阳总辐射量呈现略微上升趋势,月太阳总辐射量呈现单峰型分布,7月最高,2月最低;年日照时数呈现微弱的下降趋势,月日照时数呈双峰型分布,7月最高,3月最低。对万山海岛地区太阳能资源的分析和评估结果表明:万山海岛地区太阳总辐射量年平均值为4 996.25 MJ/m2,属于资源丰富地区;太阳能资源稳定程度指标为3.7,属于资源较稳定地区。Abstract: Linear regression analysis, anomaly value analysis, five-year moving average method and Mann-Kendall method are used to analyze the variation characteristics of global solar irradiance and sunshine duration in Wanshan islands area. Results show that the global solar irradiance has a slightly increasing trend, and monthly global solar irradiance has a unimodal distribution with the highest value in July and lowest value in February. The sunshine duration has a slightly downward trend, and monthly sunshine duration shows a bimodal distribution with the highest value in July and lowest value in March. Analysis and evaluation results of solar energy resource of Wanshan islands show that the average value of global solar irradiance is 4996.25 MJ/m2, which is abundant in solar energy resource. The stability of solar energy resources is 3.7, which is fairly stable.