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基于水动力学模型的暴雨浅层滑坡风险分析

Assessment of Rainstorm-induced Shallow Landslide Hazard with Hydrodynamic Model

  • 摘要: 暴雨诱发浅层滑坡对公共安全和社会经济发展构成重大威胁,但迄今为止对浅层滑坡的形成机理认识有限,尚无可靠的浅层滑坡风险分析方法。本文建立暴雨山洪水动力学数学模型,能较好地模拟暴雨产流、汇流及入渗等水文过程;采用边坡极限平衡方法构建暴雨水动力学滑坡模型,对暴雨诱发浅层滑坡进行风险分析。将该模型应用于典型浅层滑坡易发区,计算结果表明,本文水动力学模型能较好地模拟降雨入渗过程,基于该模型的浅层滑坡风险分析较为合理,为有效防御暴雨浅层滑坡提供了新的技术。

     

    Abstract: Shallow landslide induced by rainstorm can pose great threats to public safety and social and econormic development, but the knowledge of shallow landslide formation mechanism is limited so far. There is no reilable analysis method on shallow landslide hazard. In this paper, hydrodynamic model of heavy rainfall-induced flash flood is developed. The model can better simulate the hydrological processes of rainstorm runoff, convergence and infiltration, etc. The rainstorm hydrodynamic landslide model is used to assess rainstorm-induced shallow landslide hazard, with the limit equilibrium method of slope. The model has been applied to a typical shallow landslide-prone area. The calculation results show that the hydrodynamic model can better simulate the process of rainfall infiltration, the assessment of shallow landslide hazard, based on the model, is more reasonable. It provided a new technology to defense effectively rainstorm-induced shallow landslide.

     

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