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基于两阶段聚类分析的用电需求响应潜力评估方法

Method of Demand Response Potential Assessment Based on  Two-stage Cluster Analysis

  • 摘要:
        目的   随着计量通信技术的发展,实施需求响应的基本硬件条件得到了满足,需求响应项目的实施提上日程。需求响应实施试点区域的选取需要对区域的需求响应潜力进行评估。
        方法   针对现阶段一般负荷的需求响应潜力评估中只有使用价格弹性系数的方法,且价格弹性系数的准确数据难以获得的问题,开创性的设计了一种基于两阶段聚类分析的需求响应潜力评估方法。该方法充分考虑了用户的适合性和用户流程/设备的特性这两个主要影响需求响应潜力的因素。
        结果   并使用广东某市386个用户进行了算例分析,得到了该市负荷较高的250个时段的平均需求响应潜力为该市最高负荷的3.2%。
        结论   与美国各电力市场现阶段的需求响应量对比,发现此评估方法结果合理,有一定的实用价值。

     

    Abstract:
        Introduction     With the development of metering and communication technology, the basic hardware conditions for implementing demand response have been met, and the implementation of demand response projects has been put on the agenda. The selection of pilot regions for demand response implementation requires an assessment of the region's demand response potential.
        Method   In order to solve the problem which the price elasticity coefficient was only used in the demand response potential evaluation of general load at this stage, and the accurate data of price elasticity coefficient was difficult to obtain, this paper innovatively designed a demand response potential evaluation method based on two-stage clustering analysis. This method fully considered the user's suitability and the characteristics of the user process/equipment, which mainly affect the demand response potential.
        Result   A case study of 386 users in a city in Guangdong has been carried out, and the average demand response potential for the 250 hours with a higher load in the city is 3.2% of the city's highest load.
        Conclusion   Compared with the current demand response of the various electricity markets in the United States, it is found that the results of this evaluation method are reasonable and have certain practical value.

     

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