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考虑虚拟电厂的售电公司购售电策略优化

Decision-making Optimization of Procurement and Sale Strategies for Power Sales Companies Considering Virtual Power Plants

  • 摘要:
      目的  由于售电公司面临着批发侧现货市场电价波动及零售侧用户需求不确定性,为了平衡收益与风险,需要确定合理的中长期市场和现货市场购电比例以及面向用户的分时电价。
      方法  利用需求-价格响应曲线模拟售电商在中长期合约市场的博弈行为,提出基于条件风险价值(CVaR)的交易风险损失指标量化方法。
      结果  通过柔性负荷及分布式发电实现基于虚拟电厂的需求响应,以平衡电量偏差和现货市场电价波动风险,在此基础上建立了综合考虑售电公司在批发侧市场的购电策略和零售侧售电收益的双层优化模型,并利用纵横交叉算法进行优化求解。
      结论  算例仿真结果表明了方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  The electricity sales company faces the fluctuation of electricity price in the spot market of the wholesale side and the uncertainty of the demand power of the retail side. In order to balance the benefits and risks, it is necessary to determine a reasonable proportion of electricity purchase in the medium and long-term market and the spot market and the time-of-use electricity price for consumers.
      Method  The demand price response curve was used to simulate the contesting of electricity sales companies in the medium and long-term contract market, and a quantitative method of transaction risk loss index based on conditional value at risk (CVaR) was proposed.
      Result  The demand response based on virtual power plant is realized through flexible load and distributed power generation, so as to balance the power deviation and the risk of price fluctuation in the spot market. On this basis, a two-level optimization model considering the power purchase strategy of electricity sales companies in the wholesale side market and the revenue of power selling on the retail side is established, and the crisscross optimization algorithm is used for solving the problem.
      Conclusion  The simulation results show the effectiveness of the method.

     

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