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框架式重力储能度电化净现值分析

Levelized Net Present Value of Electricity Analysis of Frame Gravity Energy Storage System

  • 摘要:
      目的  框架式重力储能系统因其具有高经济效益、低系统成本、不受地理条件限制等特点而具有广泛的应用前景。
      方法  文章运用平准化度电净现值(levelized net present value of electricity, LNPVE)模型详细探究了框架式重力储能系统在整个生命周期中的收益变化规律。以重力储能系统中资金流动的净现值为基础,构建了包括系统初始投资、折现率、上网电价以及政府补贴等的系统折现度电收入模型(levelized revenue of electricity, LROE),利用折现度电收入LROE与度电成本(levelized cost of electricity, LCOE)建立了平准化度电净现值模型,并探究了系统的折现率、上网电价、系统寿命以及系统充放电效率变化时LCOE、LROE、LNPVE、总净现值收入、总折现成本的变化情况,综合考虑不同参数对系统经济性的影响。
      结果  折现率、系统寿命、上网电价和充放电效率的增大都会改善系统的经济性。此外,随着系统寿命的增加,系统的LNPVE减小而总净现值收入增加,在评估系统的经济性时综合考虑多方因素更为恰当。
      结论  研究的度电净现值模型可以为框架式重力储能系统的建设和收益分析提供参考。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  The frame gravity energy storage system has a wide range of application prospects due to its high economic benefits, low system costs, and unrestricted geographical conditions.
      Method  The paper studied the profit variation rules of the frame gravity energy storage system throughout its life cycle in detail by applying the leveled net present value of electricity (LNPVE) model. The paper, based on the net present value of capital flow in gravity energy storage systems, first built a levelized revenue of electricity (LROE) model which includes initial investment, discount rate, feed-in tariff, and government subsidies; then, built the LNPVE model on the basis of the LROE model and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) model; and finally explored the changes of LCOE, LROE, LNPVE, total net present value income and total discounted cost when the discount rate, feed-in tariff, service life and charge-discharge efficiency of the system change, to comprehensively consider the impact of different parameters on the economic efficiency of the system.
      Result  The increase in the discount rate, service life, and charge-discharge efficiency of the system will improve the economic efficiency of the system. In addition, as the service life of the system increases, the LNPVE of the system decreases while the total net present value income increases. Therefore, it is more appropriate to comprehensively consider multiple factors when evaluating the economic efficiency of the system.
      Conclusion  The LNPVE model studied here can provide a reference for the construction and profit analysis of frame gravity energy storage systems.

     

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