高级检索

基于湖北输电线路灾情的山火分布特征分析

Analysis of the Distribution Characteristics of Mountain Fires Based on the Disaster Data of Hubei Transmission Lines

  • 摘要:
      目的  利用湖北输电线路山火历史灾情数据对山火分布特征进行分析。
      方法  基于2016~2021年湖北省输电线路山火灾情资料,运用数理统计、气候统计和GIS空间叠加方法,对全省输电线路山火时空分布及山火与气象、下垫面、社会人文等影响因子的关系特征进行分析。
      结果  时间上,2019年为近几年湖北输电线路山火发生最多的年份,秋冬季是高发季节,其中2月和9月为易发月份;空间上,鄂东地区是山火的频发区域,宜昌及荆门地区为次高发区域。山火与气象关系,大部分山火爆发前1个月降水偏少30%~100%、气温偏高0.5~3 ℃、湿度偏小3.8%~23%、风速偏大0.1~1.9 m/s。山火与下垫面关系,山火主要发生在耕地,占总数50.32%;山火主要集中在海拔高度150 m以下、坡度6°以下的区域,76.90%的山火发生在阳坡。山火与社会人文关系,山火主要发生在人口密度100~600人/km2的城市圈周边的乡镇及距离道路1.6 km缓冲区的区域。
      结论  掌握湖北输电线路山火分布特征,有助于山火风险预警模型指标选取和阈值确定。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  The distribution characteristics of mountain fires by using the historical disaster data of mountain fires related to transmission lines in Hubei province has been analyzed.
      Method  Based on the mountain fire disaster data of transmission lines in Hubei Province from 2016 to 2021, the methods of mathematical statistics, climate statistics and GIS spatial superposition were used to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of transmission line mountain fires in Hubei Province as well as the characteristics of the relationship between mountain fires and meteorological, underlying surface, and social humanities factors.
      Result  In terms of time, 2019 is the year in which mountain fires occurred most frequently on transmission lines in Hubei in recent years. Autumn and winter are peak seasons for mountain fires, with February and September being the months with a higher risk of occurrence. In terms of space, the eastern part of Hubei Province is the region with frequent mountain fires, while the Yichang and Jingmen regions are the second highest risk areas. The relationship between the mountain fire and the meteorology shows that the precipitation in the month before the occurrence of most mountain fires is 30% to 100% less than the normal level, the temperature is 0.5 ℃ to 3 ℃ higher than the normal level, the humidity is 3.8% to 23% lower than the normal level, and the wind speed is 0.1 to 1.9 m/s higher than the normal level. The relationship between mountain fire and underlying surface shows that mountain fire mainly occurs in cultivated land, accounting for 50.32% of the total. The mountain fires are mainly concentrated in the areas with an altitude below 150 meters and a slope below 6°, and 76.90% of the mountain fires occur on the sunny slope. The relationship between mountain fire and social humanities shows that mountain fire mainly occurs in the towns around the urban circle with a population density of 100~600 people/square kilometer, as well as the buffer zone about 1.6 kilometers away from the road.
      Conclusion  Mastering the distribution characteristics of mountain fires related to Hubei transmission lines can help select indicators and determine thresholds for mountain fire risk warning models.

     

/

返回文章
返回