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贵州电网负荷特性影响因素分析

Analysis of Influence Factors of Load Characteristics in Guizhou

  • 摘要:
      目的  为准确把握贵州电网的负荷特性及其变化规律,需要对贵州电网负荷特性的影响因素进行分析。
      方法  根据贵州省近年来收集到的历史负荷、宏观经济及气温数据等相关信息,首先总结分析贵州电网的负荷特性变化规律,并进一步从宏观经济、大工业用户、气温变化等方面分析影响贵州电网负荷特性变化因素。
      结果  研究结果表明宏观经济中的经济发展水平及产业结构调整、大工业用电、气温变化等因素对贵州用电负荷特性的影响程度较大,其他因素电力需求侧管理、电价政策等对负荷特性的影响程度较小。
      结论  最后根据分析结果对贵州的负荷预测、负荷特性改善等方面提出了建议。

     

    Abstract: Introduction In order to accurately understand the situation of load characteristics and grasp the change regularity of load, it is necessary to analyze the influence factors of the load characteristics of Guizhou power grid.
      Method  Based on the data collected from the historical load, macro-economic, weather and temperature and so on, we first analyzed and summarized the change regularity of load characteristics of Guizhou power grid, and further analyzed the influencing factors of load characteristics from several aspects such as macro economy, large industrial users and temperature changes.
      Result  The results showed that economic development level and industrial structure adjustment, large industrial users and temperature changes had a greater impact on the load characteristics of Guizhou power grid, while other factors, such as power demand side management and electricity price policy had a smaller impact on the Guizhou load characteristics.
      Conclusion  According to the analysis results, this paper puts forward some suggestions on load prediction and load characterisctic improvement in Guizhou.

     

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