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考虑多时间尺度的新能源特性对地区电网的影响评估

Impact Assessment of New Energy Characteristics on Regional Power Grid Considering Multiple Time Scales

  • 摘要:
      目的  随着新能源的发展,新能源不确定性和时段特征对电网的影响日增,传统的新能源指标难以刻画电网与新能源的交互关系,需要建立评估体系和指标来量化新能源对电网的影响。
      方法  从多维度、多尺度构建评估体系,建立新能源出力特性指标、电量特性指标、调峰特性指标和灵活性需求指标,分析电网关键时刻新能源出力特性、新能源出力与电量的关系、新能源对调峰的影响和新能源波动性对电网的影响,通过应用不同时间尺度(年、季、月、日和小时)的指标来挖掘典型场景特征。
      结果  以某地区实际风光荷情况为例,进行评估体系的各类指标计算,结果定量显示了地区新能源对电网的影响和在不同时间尺度的分布特性,验证了所提指标体系的工程实用性。
      结论  所提指标计算方法快速简明,指标物理意义清晰直观,有利于指导新能源的规划和调度运行。

     

    Abstract:
      Introduction  With the development of new energy, the influence of new energy uncertainty and time characteristics on power grid is increasing day by day. Traditional new energy indexes are difficult to describe the interaction between power grid and new energy. It is necessary to establish evaluation system and index to quantify the impact of new energy on power grid.
      Method  Construct the evaluation system from multi-dimensional and multi-scale and establish new energy output characteristic index, electric quantity characteristic index, peak regulation characteristic index and flexibility demand index to analyze the new energy output characteristics, the relationship between new energy output and electric quantity, the influence of new energy on peak regulation and the influence of new energy fluctuation on power grid at critical moments. Typical scene features were mined by applying indexes from different time scales such as year, season, month, day and hour.
      Result  All kinds of indexes of the evaluation system has been calculated by taking the actual wind power, PV power and load in a certain area as an example. The results show quantitatively the influence of regional new energy on power grid and its distribution characteristics at different time scales. The engineering practicability of the proposed index system is verified.
      Conclusion  The proposed index calculation method is quick and simple and the physical meaning of indexes is clear and intuitive and helpful to guide the planning and dispatching of new energy.

     

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