Trend and Outlook of Carbon Emission from Energy Consumption in Guangdong Province, China
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Abstract
Energy consumption is the main source of carbon dioxide from human activity, and carbon mitigation has become an important constraint on the energy development in China. The total CO2 emission of the World in 2012 from energy consumption is up to 3.173 4×1010 t of CO2. The total CO2 emission from energy consumption in China occupies 26.0% of the World total. The per capita emission for the World in 2012 is 4 510 kg CO2, and it is 6 093 kg CO2 for China. The per capita emission for Guangdong province in 2012 is 5 224 kg CO2, which is higher than that for the world but lower than that for China. With the progress of the effort for energy conservation and emissions reduction as well as combating climate change, the per unit production energy consumption level in Guangdong Province is becoming lower year by year, and the energy mix is also improving, which suppressed the growth tendacy of the CO2 emission from fossil fuel consumption in the province. The total emission in 2012 is a little less than that in 2011. It is predicted according to the present trend situation, the total carbon emission from energy consumption in Guangdong province will reach 1.606 2×108 t carbon equivalent in 2020, about 9.69×106 t of carbon equivalent more than that in 2012. And the per capita emission will reach 5 287 kg, a little higher than the 5 224 kg in 2012. If the development of the third industry is accelerated during the thirteenth five-year period, the total consumption of fossil fuel in 2020 will be 2.7% less than that in 2012, and the total CO2 emission will be 3.5% less than that in 2012. The per capita CO2 emission will be lowered from 5 224 kg in 2012 to 4 795 kg in 2020, which will be approching the average level of the world then.
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